Monday, September 26, 2016

Q2 Cash Balance Hits Second Largest Total in a Decade - Factset

  •  Cash Balance Grows 1.1% YOY; Slight Decline from Q1: The S&P 500 (Ex-Financials) cash and short-term investments balance was $1.456 trillion at the end of the second quarter (May-July), which represented a 1.1% increase from the year-ago quarter, but a 0.2% decline from Q1. The balance in Q2 represented the second largest cash total in at least ten years.
  • Microsoft and Alphabet with Largest Cash Balances: Microsoft and Alphabet ended the second quarter with the largest cash and short-term investments balances ($113.2 billion and $78.5 billion, respectively).
  • Cash to Debt Ratio Continues to Fall: The cash to debt ratio for the S&P 500 (Ex-Financials) index fell 6% yearover-year to 33%, which marked the lowest ratio since Q2 2009.
  • Capital Expenditures Decline 7.9% Year-Over-Year: Fixed capital expenditures in the second quarter amounted to $144.7 billion, which represented a 7.9% decline from the year-ago period. The Energy sector led the decline with a 40.4% year-over-year drop in quarterly CapEx.
  • Shareholder Distributions Favored Over Capital Spending: Compared to the TTM period ending in Q2 2010, growth in share buybacks (+151.5%) far exceeded growth in dividends (+95.6%) and capital expenditures (+52.2) for the TTM ending in Q2.
We have the highest number of cash balance and the lowest number of quarterly share buyback in US, therefore we encourage investors to be cautious on the market. But, basically the market has no reason to sell for at the moment. Everything still need to wait until the election of US new President finish.

Sunday, September 25, 2016

2017 Energy Outlook - Factset

What is the outlook for oil prices and Energy sector earnings going forward? Do analysts expect oil prices and Energy sector earnings to rise in 2017?


The answer is yes. Analysts currently project that both the price of oil (WTI) and the estimated earnings for the Energy sector will increase over the next several quarters. In terms of the price of oil (WTI), analysts believe the average price for the quarter will increase from $46.84 in Q3 2016 to $55.88 in Q3 2017. In terms of projected earnings for the S&P 500 Energy sector, analysts believe dollar-level earnings will increase from $4.3 billion in Q3 2016 to $14.0 billion in Q3 2017.

Sources : http://www.factset.com/insight/2016/09/earningsinsight_09.23.16#.V-iH-_p942w