KLCI Year End Trend

1. Year 2012
    November - High 1678 Low 1590, drop 88 points. December Low 1608 High 1688, up 80 points.

2. Year 2013
    November - High 1811 Low 1780, drop 31 points. December Low 1811 High 1882, up 71 points.

3. Year 2014
    November - High 1858 Low 1815, drop 43 points.( Keep on drop till 15 Dec 1671, drop 187     points) December Low 1671 High 1770, up 99 points.

4. If we follow the historical trend, we can predict November 2015 market will start dropping and pick up again in December. If we using 3 years average method to calculate, November 2015 can fall 54 points, December 2015 can up 112 points.

5. Federal Reserve will meeting on December 15-16, to price in US interest rate hike issue, we set a lower target 90 points to up from the lowest points.

6. FBMKLCI highest points as at 05 November 2015 is 1696 there we forecast as below :
    November can fall till 1642, December can up back till 1732.

    This method cannot be a perfect measurement therefore we give a buffer of 20 points, after adjustment November can fall till 1622 and follow by December up back till 1752.

7. We will use this calculation as a guideline to monitor the market and we find out one good news which is market normally will continue upward trend after December which show a New Year effect. Therefore we suggest customers to buy when market falls and take profit after New Year in January.

8. 以上的方式是以三年平均值来计算，KLCI 十一月份可能跌到 1622点然后在十二月起回到1752点。所以，我们建议任何大跌靠近这个点数都可买进一些股票然后在一月套利。股市名言，跌才是买进的时候。

9. Shares to monitor 可注意的股票 : Skpress, Mahsing, Uems, Maybank, Cimb, Owg, Eg, Pohuat.

以上纯属个人分析与评论，如有任何疑问，欢迎与我交流讨论。
From：林友志 （Lim Yu Chee)