Monday, August 7, 2017

Does Malaysia Economy do well since 2000?


Malaysia
Population
Indonesia
Population
Year
Value $
GDP %
 (Mil)
Value $
GDP %
 (Mil)
2000
93,789,736,842.11
8.6

165,021,012,077.81
4.8

2001
92,783,947,368.42
0.3

160,446,947,784.91
3.3

2002
100,845,263,157.90
4.2

195,660,611,165.18
3.5

2003
110,202,368,421.05
5.2

234,772,463,823.81
4.1

2004
124,749,736,842.11
7.1

256,836,875,295.45
4.9

2005
143,534,102,611.50
5.2

285,868,618,224.02
5.6

2006
162,690,965,596.21
5.9

364,570,514,304.85
5.5

2007
193,547,824,063.30
6.3
26.80
432,216,737,774.86
6.3
225.60
2008
230,813,597,937.53
4.6
27.30
510,228,635,279.29
6.1
231.60
2009
202,257,586,267.56
-1.7
27.80
539,580,088,908.14
4.5
235.00
2010
255,016,609,232.87
7.2
28.30
755,094,160,363.07
6.1
238.50
2011
297,951,960,784.31
5.1
29.06
892,969,107,923.09
6.5
242.00
2012
314,442,825,692.83
5.6
29.51
917,869,910,105.75
6.2
245.40
2013
323,276,841,537.34
4.7
30.21
912,524,136,718.02
5.3
248.80
2014
338,068,990,803.26
6.0
30.60
890,814,755,233.23
5.0
252.20
2015
296,283,190,372.55
5.0
31.20
861,256,351,277.36
4.9
255.46
2016
296,359,118,754.53
4.2
31.70
932,259,177,765.31
5.0
258.70

Thailand
Population
Philipines
Population
Year
Value $
GDP %
 (Mil)
Value $
GDP %
 (Mil)
2000
126,392,308,497.75
4.1

81,026,297,144.28
3.6

2001
120,296,746,256.63
1.4

76,262,072,022.22
2.8

2002
134,300,851,255.00
5.2

81,357,602,950.18
4.6

2003
152,280,653,543.73
6.7

83,908,206,456.06
4.5

2004
172,895,476,152.59
6.1

91,371,239,764.88
5.9

2005
189,318,499,954.00
4.5

103,071,585,462.60
4.8

2006
221,758,486,880.31
4.8

122,210,719,245.90
5.4

2007
262,942,650,543.77
4.8
63.04
149,359,920,005.89
7.3
88.71
2008
291,383,081,231.82
2.6
63.39
174,195,135,053.12
3.8
90.46
2009
281,710,095,724.76
-2.2
63.53
168,334,599,538.17
1.1
91.02
2010
341,105,009,515.33
7.8
63.88
199,590,774,784.58
7.3
92.60
2011
370,818,747,396.83
0.1
64.08
224,143,083,706.78
3.7
94.80
2012
397,559,992,407.45
6.4
64.06
250,092,093,547.53
6.6
97.10
2013
420,528,737,876.72
2.9
64.46
271,836,123,723.68
6.8
98.00
2014
406,521,561,093.36
0.8
64.79
284,584,522,898.94
6.1
100.50
2015
399,234,547,137.47
2.9
65.12
292,774,099,014.19
6.0
102.20
2016
406,839,679,301.94
3.2
65.93
304,905,406,845.91
6.9
103.90

Singapore
Population
China
Population
Year
Value $
GDP %
 (Mil)
Value $
GDP %
 (Mil)
2000
126,923,095,471.91
10.1

1,211,346,395,438.73
8.0

2001
127,212,731,119.31
-2.2

1,339,395,440,432.04


2002
136,256,691,925.27
2.2

1,470,549,716,080.71
8.0

2003
162,766,467,544.72
1.1

1,660,287,543,796.06
8.0

2004
196,053,942,193.91
8.1

1,955,347,477,285.91
9.1

2005
234,022,949,884.06
6.4

2,285,965,854,313.36
9.1

2006
271,974,858,948.52
7.9

2,752,132,089,196.58
10.2

2007
326,343,861,812.68
7.7
4.59
3,552,182,714,426.55
11.9
1321.29
2008
393,489,345,339.15
1.1
4.84
4,598,205,419,718.80
9.0
1328.02
2009
336,886,290,580.52
-1.3
4.99
5,109,954,035,775.98
9.1
1334.50
2010
387,290,741,084.78
14.5
5.08
6,100,620,356,557.32
10.3
1340.91
2011
469,287,734,302.83
4.9
5.18
7,572,554,360,442.62
9.2
1347.35
2012
489,309,844,392.05
1.3
5.31
8,560,546,868,811.69
7.8
1354.04
2013
508,115,793,399.22
4.1
5.40
9,607,224,248,684.59
7.7
1360.72
2014
521,843,492,853.73
3.6
5.47
10,482,371,325,324.70
7.3
1367.82
2015
444,166,579,289.30
1.9
5.54
11,064,664,793,255.70
6.9
1374.62
2016
431,168,068,762.38
1.9
5.60
11,199,145,157,649.20
6.7

*Data get from some internet sources and accuracy not 100%.

1. On average for the past 17 years, Malaysia GDP growth 4.91%, Indonesia 5.15%, Thailand 3.65%, Phillipines 5.13%, Singapore 4.31%, China 8.14%. On economy size Singapore and Thailand are much more larger than Malaysia, and Philippines is slightly larger than Malaysia.

2. Therefore just from economy size point of view, Malaysia actually growth not so well or is below our expectation for the past 17 years. This is due to we use to compare with Taiwan, Singapore and South Korea but now we are actually just nice to compare with Thailand, Phillipines and Vietnam.

3. Another reason which bring Malaysia people feel more down or suffer in their life which we find out is currency - Ringgit Malaysia. Let us have some comparison :

Indonesia Rupiah - poor performance as well compare like year 1997.
 South Korean Won - still perform better compare to year 1997.
 Malaysia Ringgit - poor performance as worst as year 1997.
 Singapore Dollar - well perform until now.
Thai Baht - perform better than 1997 crisis
 Taiwanese Dollar - maintain at current level, stagnant for long time.
 Vietnamese Dong - poor performance as well.
4. USD is the major currency we use even until today, to judge FDI normally we will look at countries foreign reserve. Therefore exchange rate stand as an indicator which show foreign investor either buying or selling your country assets like bond or securities. As a simple conclusion we can get is foreigner actually pull out a lot of investment in Malaysia and Malaysia economy actually not well perform in their point of view. 

以上纯属个人分析与评论,如有任何疑问,欢迎与我交流讨论。任何股票买卖建议输赢绝对不负责。
From:林友志 (Lim Yu Chee)

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